Only a win+draw (or better) in the last two games ensures qualification for NZ, but a win or two draws does allow for lots of chances to go through on goal difference, etc., with somewhat better a priori odds of qualification (just as one would expect) if NZ gets a win and finishes with 4 pts rather than 3.
What NZ's grabbing a point in its first game guarantees is that its last game must mean something. In no case will NZ just be 'playing for pride'. Game on.
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